分类： politics

HAVANA — In a solemn predawn ceremony, Cuban officials lowered national flags to honor 32 security officers reportedly killed during what authorities describe as a U.S.-led offensive in Venezuela. The incident has triggered profound anxiety across the island nation, raising urgent questions about Cuba’s political and economic future following the capture of President Nicolás Maduro, Havana’s closest regional ally.

The strategic partnership between Cuba and Venezuela represents one of Latin America’s most deeply intertwined relationships. Cuban military and security personnel have historically provided protection for the Venezuelan leadership, while Caracas’s petroleum exports have sustained Cuba’s struggling economy through years of financial hardship. Cuban authorities confirmed the casualties from what they termed a ‘surprise attack’ but declined to provide specific operational details.

The Trump administration has explicitly framed the Venezuela intervention as a direct blow to Cuba’s government, highlighting how the severance of Venezuelan support could produce devastating consequences for Havana’s leadership. On Saturday, Cuban officials appealed for international condemnation of what they characterized as ‘state terrorism.’

President Trump subsequently emphasized that Cuba’s already fragile economy would face further deterioration following Maduro’s ouster, bluntly stating that the island nation was ‘going down for the count.’

Geopolitical analysts note the extraordinary influence exerted by Cuba—with approximately 10 million citizens—over oil-rich Venezuela, which possesses triple the population. This relationship has provided crucial stability despite Cuba’s chronic domestic challenges, including widespread blackouts and severe shortages of basic commodities. The recent escalation has introduced the previously unthinkable prospect of even grimmer conditions ahead.

Emotional responses from Cuban citizens reflected the gravity of the situation. ‘I can’t talk. I have no words,’ expressed 75-year-old Berta Luz Sierra Molina through tears. Another resident, 63-year-old Regina Mendez, declared readiness to take up arms despite being beyond military age, stating, ‘Give me a rifle, and I’ll go fight.’

Energy experts quantify the potential crisis: Venezuela has supplied Cuba with approximately 35,000 barrels of oil daily over recent months, covering about a quarter of the island’s total demand. Jorge Piñón of the University of Texas at Austin Energy Institute identified the critical unanswered question: ‘Is the U.S. going to allow Venezuela to continue supplying Cuba with oil?’

Piñón referenced Mexico’s reduced oil shipments to Cuba—from 22,000 to 7,000 barrels daily—following U.S. diplomatic pressure, suggesting similar constraints could apply to Venezuelan supplies. Ricardo Torres, an economist at American University, warned that current significant blackouts occur despite ongoing Venezuelan support, predicting ‘catastrophe’ if these shipments are interrupted.

Reporting contributions came from San Juan, Puerto Rico; Havana; and Buenos Aires.

An emergency session of the United Nations Security Council witnessed unprecedented diplomatic fallout as the United States faced widespread condemnation for its military operation to apprehend Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro. While numerous member states acknowledged Maduro’s illegitimate and repressive governance, the unilateral action provoked fierce criticism from both American allies and adversaries alike.

France emerged as the most vocal critic among US allies, with Deputy Ambassador Jay Dharmadhikari declaring the operation “counter to the principle of peaceful dispute resolution and runs counter to the principle of the non-use of force.” This sentiment was echoed by Denmark’s Deputy UN Ambassador Sandra Jensen Landi, who expressed “deep concern” and warned the action sets “a dangerous precedent” for international law.

The European bloc demonstrated significant division, with the United Kingdom and Greece notably refraining from direct condemnation. UK acting ambassador James Kariuki offered only a tepid statement advocating for a “safe and peaceful transition” without addressing the legality of the US operation.

Russian Ambassador Vassili Nebenzia delivered the harshest rhetoric, accusing the US of “international banditry” and “neo-colonialism and imperialism.” China’s Chargé d’Affaires Sun Lei similarly condemned what he termed “unilateral, illegal and bullying acts of the US,” while Colombia’s ambassador Leonor Zalabata Torres stated there is “no justification for the unilateral use of force to commit an act of aggression.”

The diplomatic dilemma for European nations was particularly acute, torn between defending fundamental principles of sovereignty and maintaining pragmatic relations with a crucial security partner. This conflict was exemplified by EU statements that emphasized the importance of international law without specifically condemning the US action, despite acknowledging Maduro’s illegitimate status and recognizing drug trafficking as a “significant security threat worldwide.”

The operation has reignited debates about Western double standards regarding territorial integrity, with many developing countries likely to add Venezuela to their list of examples alongside Vietnam and Iraq. The crisis has prompted broader questions about European strategic autonomy, with Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk advocating for a more self-reliant and united Europe in the face of perceived American unpredictability.

In a dramatic political transition, Venezuela’s National Assembly has sworn in Delcy Rodríguez as the nation’s interim president following the extraordinary capture of former leader Nicolás Maduro by U.S. forces. The ceremony, presided over by her brother and Assembly leader Jorge Rodríguez, marks a significant turning point in the country’s political trajectory.

Rodríguez struck a notably conciliatory tone toward the United States during her inauguration, declaring Venezuela’s intention to establish “respectful relations” with the Trump administration. This represents a substantial diplomatic shift from the previously hostile stance maintained during Maduro’s nearly 13-year authoritarian rule.

The political transition unfolds against the backdrop of Maduro’s first appearance in a U.S. courtroom, where he pleaded not guilty to federal narcoterrorism and drug-trafficking charges. The former leader was captured Saturday in a military operation at his residence on a Venezuelan military base.

Maduro’s son, Nicolás Maduro Guerra, made his first public appearance since the capture, delivering an impassioned address condemning what he characterized as the “kidnapping of a head of state.” He warned that the precedent established by Maduro’s capture threatens global political stability and demanded the return of both his father and stepmother, Cilia Flores.

The U.S. State Department has initiated preliminary preparations to potentially reopen the American embassy in Caracas, according to an anonymous official familiar with internal deliberations. This development signals potential normalization of diplomatic relations between the nations after years of tension.

Secretary of State Marco Rubio clarified that while the U.S. would maintain pressure on Venezuela’s oil industry through an existing “oil quarantine,” Washington does not intend to govern the country day-to-day. The administration instead anticipates policy changes regarding both oil management and narcotics trafficking prevention.

The political transition represents a complex balancing act for Rodríguez, who must navigate between maintaining domestic political support from Maduro loyalists while establishing cooperative relations with the United States.