分类: business

  • Australia’s largest wild prawn business collapses, costing 200 jobs

    Australia’s largest wild prawn business collapses, costing 200 jobs

    After decades of growth from a small family fish and chip shop to a national seafood industry leader, Australia’s largest wild-caught prawn producer Raptis and Sons Group has collapsed, sending ripples of economic uncertainty through coastal communities across the country and leaving 200 workers unemployed.

    Founded in the 1950s by Greek first-generation migrants Anna and Arthur Raptis Snr in Adelaide, the company built a sprawling fishing empire over three generations. It operated wild prawn harvests across four jurisdictions—South Australia, Western Australia, the Northern Territory and Queensland—and fin fish fisheries in waters off the NT, Queensland and New South Wales. Beyond fishing, the group owned popular seafood brands Agrios, Seaport and Ocean Pearl, ran a processing and packing facility in Brisbane, and distributed its own and third-party seafood to major national wholesale markets including the Sydney Fish Markets, as well as international buyers. Its 19-vessel fleet includes 15 boats based out of the tiny Gulf of Carpentaria town of Karumba, which has a total population of just 500 and relies heavily on Raptis’ operations to sustain its local economy.

    Appointed as administrators in March, insolvency practitioners have confirmed that all efforts to secure a buyer for the struggling business have failed. The company first launched a sale process in late 2024, drawing initial interest from multiple prospective investors, but no deal was finalized to save the business. Earlier hopes that a new buyer could inject emergency funding to allow the fleet to participate in the 2025 banana prawn season, which runs from April 1 to mid-June, have also been dashed, after negotiations for interim financing collapsed without agreement.

    Financial documents filed by administrator Ben Campbell reveal the full scale of the company’s liabilities. While Raptis holds more than $26 million in equity, it owes $35.2 million to the National Australia Bank. In total, 296 separate parties—including employees, local businesses and government agencies—are owed a collective $31.6 million. Company directors Jim Raptis and Christine Raptis are among the creditors owed $2.7 million in total. At the time of administration, the company employed 196 people: 123 full-time staff, four part-time workers and 69 casual employees, all of whom now face unemployment.

    Industry insiders and administrators point to a perfect storm of market and operational challenges that drove the business to collapse. The core triggers cited are a severe oversupply of banana prawns during the 2022/2023 season, followed by two consecutive years of lower-than-expected catch volumes, and rapidly rising operating costs that squeezed profit margins to unsustainable levels. Most notably, a national diesel shortage that followed the global energy price shock drastically increased fuel costs for the company’s fleet, adding further financial pressure.

    Veteran federal MP Bob Katter, whose electorate covers Karumba, has blamed Queensland state government policies restricting fishing licenses and the national fuel crisis for delivering the fatal blow to the historic business. He warns that the collapse is part of a broader, decades-long decline of Australia’s domestic fishing industry, driven by restrictive regulation that has already shrunk the Karumba fleet by two-thirds during his political career.

    Katter argued that environmental policies supported by green activists have gutted local fishing activity, pointing out that Australia now imports 40 percent of its seafood, a share that is projected to grow as more domestic operations close. “The fuel crisis hitting the once great fishing industry of North Queensland – soon there won’t be any left,” Katter told NewsWire. “The fuel crisis is going to kill what’s left of the fishing industry that’s been killed off by the greenies. I have said continuously we will go without fuel, and now what I am telling my fellow Australians is, ‘you will go without food’.”

    For small regional centers like Karumba, the collapse of the town’s largest employer leaves an uncertain future, with local businesses that rely on the fishing fleet now bracing for secondary economic shocks as jobs and economic activity disappear from the community.

  • Business sentiments in Japan improving despite Iran worries

    Business sentiments in Japan improving despite Iran worries

    TOKYO – The Bank of Japan’s closely watched quarterly tankan survey, published Wednesday, has delivered a fourth consecutive quarter of improving business sentiment among the nation’s large manufacturing firms. The key diffusion index, which measures the gap between companies reporting positive business conditions and those forecasting a downturn, edged up to 17 in March, up one point from the December reading.

    This modest uptick comes despite mounting global and domestic economic headwinds, fueled by the ongoing conflict in Iran that has stirred widespread anxiety over energy supply security and broader Japanese economic growth. Unlike the manufacturing sector’s gain, sentiment among large non-manufacturing businesses, spanning retail, hospitality and other service segments, held steady at 36, matching the previous survey’s reading.

    While Japan’s overall inflation rate has stayed far more muted than in many other advanced economies, upward pressure on fuel prices and a range of consumer goods has accelerated concerns across markets and households. Geopolitical uncertainty surrounding the duration of the Iran conflict and unpredictable policy signals from former U.S. President Donald Trump have added to market volatility, pushing Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 index into sharp swings over recent weeks.

    A depreciating yen and soaring energy costs have combined to push up living costs for ordinary Japanese consumers, leading a growing number of analysts to forecast that the Bank of Japan could move to raise interest rates at its upcoming monetary policy meeting. The central bank wrapped up years of negative interest rates, implemented to combat decades of stubborn deflation, when it normalized monetary policy in 2024. It has held its benchmark policy rate steady at 0.75% since the beginning of the year, and its next policy board gathering is scheduled for April 27-28.

    Historically, a weaker yen has been a boon for Japan’s export-led economy, which built its global reputation on high-volume shipments of automobiles and consumer electronics. When the yen depreciates, overseas earnings earned in foreign currencies translate back to larger yen denominated profits for exporting firms. But in recent decades, Japan’s economic dynamics have shifted dramatically: as a resource-poor nation, Japan now imports nearly all of its energy needs, along with large volumes of food and critical manufacturing components. A weak yen now raises import costs sharply, eroding household purchasing power and cutting into corporate margins for import-dependent firms. The U.S. dollar has continued its rapid ascent against the yen in recent trading sessions, amplifying these inflationary pressures.

  • Asia stocks jump after Trump suggests Iran war could end in weeks

    Asia stocks jump after Trump suggests Iran war could end in weeks

    Global financial markets reacted with a sharp surge in Asian equities during Wednesday’s early trading session, driven by an unexpected announcement from former U.S. President Donald Trump that American military forces will complete their withdrawal from Iran within two to three weeks — regardless of whether a diplomatic agreement is reached with Tehran’s government.

    In early morning trading, Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 index climbed by nearly 4 percentage points, while South Korea’s primary Kospi index jumped more than 6%. Despite this significant upward movement, both major regional indexes remain below their pre-conflict levels, prior to the outbreak of the Iran war on February 28.

    While equities gained ground, oil markets continued to edge upward: June-delivery Brent Crude, the global benchmark for oil pricing, traded 1.2% higher at $105.36 per barrel, equal to approximately £79.61. This uptick follows a historic monthly surge in May-delivery Brent during March, when the contract jumped 64% — its largest one-month gain in more than three decades. That spike came after Iran threatened to block all commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint that carries roughly 20% of the world’s daily oil supply.

    Speaking from the Oval Office on Tuesday, Trump told reporters that Iran is “begging to make a deal” to end the conflict, but added that reaching an agreement is “irrelevant” to the United States’ planned withdrawal timeline.

    Hours before Trump’s statement, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian confirmed that his administration holds the “necessary will” to reach a negotiated end to the war, but outlined that Tehran requires concrete security guarantees to prevent future cross-border aggression from resuming.

    For context, global oil pricing relies on monthly futures contracts, where buyers agree to purchase crude at a set price for future delivery. When futures prices rise, the increase is almost always passed through to consumers in the form of higher gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel prices, as oil is a core input for nearly all global transportation and manufacturing activity.

    Goh Jing Rong, an energy markets analyst at Singapore Management University, explained that the March 2025 price surge was the largest single monthly jump for Brent crude since the 1990 Gulf War, when Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait removed both countries’ production from global markets and triggered a historic energy supply shock. Goh added that the current rally is driven overwhelmingly by market fear: the threat of a full shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz has created widespread anxiety over potential global supply disruptions.

    “Prices have also been pushed up by growing concerns over rising insurance premiums for oil tankers traversing the region, and the vulnerability of other critical shipping waterways in the Middle East,” Goh added.

    In recent days, the escalation of conflict has widened after Iran-backed Houthi militants in Yemen entered the conflict, raising new fears that the group could disrupt commercial shipping through the Red Sea, another key global trade route for energy and goods.

    Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Danish investment bank Saxo Bank, noted that another factor pushing prices higher is aggressive bidding from oil refiners, who are rushing to build inventory and boost production amid widespread global shortages of jet fuel and diesel. “Refiners are competing to lock in crude supplies to meet existing demand gaps, which is putting additional upward pressure on benchmark prices,” Hansen explained.

    The current conflict has hit Northeast Asian economies particularly hard: both Japan and South Korea rely heavily on imported energy from the Middle East, leaving them more exposed to supply disruptions and price spikes than most other developed economies.

  • Apartment approvals soar 191pc as Australia faces rate rises

    Apartment approvals soar 191pc as Australia faces rate rises

    Australia’s new residential construction sector saw a dramatic jump in project approvals during February, even in the face of consecutive central bank interest rate hikes, though the country continues to fall short of its ambitious national housing supply goal, new official data shows.

    New statistics released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reveal that total dwelling approvals climbed 29.7% month-on-month in February, hitting 19,022 projects. The strong uptick was driven almost entirely by multi-unit developments: raw data shows apartment approvals skyrocketed 191.2% to 5,398 units, marking a 29.8% annual increase compared to February 2023. Townhouse approvals also rebounded sharply, rising 73.8% to 2,981 dwellings after a 38.7% drop in January.

    Despite the monthly surge, experts warn the overall pace of new home development is still not enough to meet the targets set out in the National Housing Accord, which aims to build an extra 1 million new homes over five years to address critical national supply shortages. To hit this goal, Australia needs to approve and complete roughly 20,000 new homes every month, but long-term approval trends remain well below this benchmark.

    AMP senior economist My Bui noted that monthly approval data is notoriously volatile, so a longer-term perspective offers more accurate insight into the sector’s trajectory. Looking across a longer timeframe, annualized approval levels have held steady around 196,000 new homes per year. While this volume roughly balances demand amid the current slowdown in population growth, it falls far short of the 240,000 annual approvals needed to make up for the cumulative supply shortfall that built up during the rapid population growth of 2023 and 2024. Bui added that completion rates have also failed to pick up as projected, remaining flat rather than following the upward trend that earlier approval numbers suggested would emerge by 2025.

    Notably, February’s approval surge occurred even after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) implemented a 25-basis-point cash rate hike that pushed the benchmark rate to 3.85% that month. The central bank followed with another 25-basis-point increase in March, lifting the cash rate to 4.10%, and financial markets broadly expect another rate hike when the RBA’s board meets again in May.

    Beyond project approvals, the total value of the nation’s residential development pipeline also hit a new record high in February. Total combined approval value across all construction types reached $20.43 billion, representing a 14.4% annual increase. Residential construction alone accounted for most of the growth, jumping 30.8% to an all-time high of $12.5 billion, with new home builds rising 35.9% to $11.21 billion. That growth was partially offset by a 1.2% dip in renovation and extension project approvals, which fell to $1.29 billion. Non-residential construction, including offices, retail spaces and industrial facilities, also saw a 4.4% drop in approvals to $7.93 billion, following an unusually strong performance in January.

    As the development pipeline grows, national property market data indicates the sector has hit a clear turning point in its current cycle, with rising interest rates beginning to temper the rapid home price growth seen over the past two years. New figures from property analytics firm REA Group show national median home prices rose just 0.3% in March, pushing the national median value to $908,000. While that leaves prices 9.4% higher than one year ago – a gain of roughly $94,800 for the median property – the pace of growth has slowed significantly.

    REA Group senior economist Eleanor Creagh explained that slowing price growth confirms a clear shift in market momentum, as rising borrowing costs weigh on buyer activity. “Recent rate rises will weigh on buyer sentiment, borrowing capacity, and erode already poor affordability,” she said. However, Creagh noted that persistent supply shortages are preventing prices from falling, even as interest rates rise. A resilient national labor market, ongoing population growth, and targeted support for first-time home buyers continue to keep demand strong against a backdrop of severely limited available housing stock, she added.

  • Middle East war: global economic fallout

    Middle East war: global economic fallout

    The ongoing conflict in the Middle East has triggered widespread economic disruptions across continents, reshaping energy markets, straining national energy reserves, and driving volatile swings in global financial systems in recent weeks. While diplomatic signals of a potential de-escalation have temporarily calmed market jitters, the tangible damage to critical energy infrastructure and persistent supply chain risks continue to pressure economies worldwide.

    On Wednesday, global financial markets posted sharp gains following two consecutive days of upward momentum, driven by remarks from key leaders hinting at a possible end to hostilities between Iran and Western-backed forces. U.S. former President Donald Trump indicated that the conflict could wrap up within approximately two weeks, while Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian confirmed Tehran holds the political will to reach a ceasefire with Israel and the United States – though he emphasized the need for ironclad guarantees to prevent future outbreaks of violence. The upbeat diplomatic signals sent Asian stocks soaring: Japanese and South Korean benchmark indexes jumped in early morning trading, following a massive rally on Wall Street a day earlier that saw the blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average close up 2.5%, and the technology-focused Nasdaq Composite surge 3.8%. Oil prices also pulled back from recent multi-year highs on the ceasefire hopes, though benchmark crude still held firmly above the $100 per barrel threshold, underscoring persistent supply uncertainty.

    Beyond market volatility, the conflict has already inflicted permanent damage to critical regional infrastructure. Iranian state media reported this week that a major desalination plant on Qeshm Island, located near the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz – the chokepoint through which roughly 20% of global oil supplies transit daily – has been completely knocked out of service by targeted strikes. Health ministry official Mohsen Farhadi told Iran’s ISNA news agency that the facility cannot be repaired in the short term, cutting off a key source of fresh water for the island’s population. Separate reports confirmed an Iranian attack ignited a fire on the Al Salmi, a 332-meter Kuwaiti-flagged crude tanker docked at Dubai’s port. No casualties were reported, and Dubai fire crews successfully extinguished the blaze within hours, but the incident highlighted the growing risk to commercial shipping in the region.

    Geopolitical risks have also disrupted transit for global shipping operators. China’s foreign ministry announced Tuesday that three Chinese-registered vessels have successfully completed transit out of the Strait of Hormuz, with assistance from unspecified relevant parties. Tracking data confirms two container ships operated by Chinese shipping giant Cosco made the passage on Monday, though Beijing has not released any details on the identity or status of the third vessel.

    The economic fallout of the conflict is already being felt far beyond the Middle East, with consumer prices and energy policy being upended across Europe, Africa, and Asia. In the Eurozone, March inflation climbed to 2.5% – the highest reading recorded since January 2025 – driven almost entirely by skyrocketing energy costs tied to Middle East supply disruptions. According to Jean Maynier, head of global maritime analytics firm Kpler, Asian economies face the most severe impact, with the region already sliding toward a full-blown energy crisis. Maynier told Agence France-Presse that Asian nations do not hold enough domestic energy reserves to offset the gap left by disrupted Middle Eastern supplies, noting that shortages will be felt across both large emerging economies like China and smaller developing nations including the Philippines and Indonesia.

    To cope with the looming shortages, governments across the Global South have already implemented emergency energy conservation measures. Indonesia became one of the first major Asian economies to announce fuel rationing this week, alongside a mandatory work-from-home order for all civil servants, as the country moves to preserve existing energy stockpiles amid global price hikes. Jakarta has also ruled out any immediate fuel price increases, despite growing pressure on the national budget from the conflict. In East Africa, Ethiopia announced that it would prioritize fuel allocations for essential goods transport and public transit vehicles, as widespread shortages linked to the conflict grip the country. South Asia has seen even more drastic action: Sri Lanka this week announced a nearly 40% increase in electricity prices, effective Wednesday, to offset energy shortages stemming from the Middle East war. This marks the third fuel price hike the country has implemented this month, bringing total increases to more than 33%, and Sri Lanka has already moved to a four-day working week for public employees to cut overall energy consumption.

  • ASX rallies on hopes of oil crisis ending after new Trump timeline

    ASX rallies on hopes of oil crisis ending after new Trump timeline

    A fresh announcement from former U.S. President Donald Trump outlining a timeline for a U.S. military drawdown in the conflict with Iran has triggered a sharp, broad-based rally across global equity markets, lifting Australia’s benchmark ASX 200 and all major Wall Street indices as investors grew increasingly optimistic the oil market crisis could be coming to an end.

    On opening bell, ASX 200 futures jumped 137.10 points, a 1.62% gain that pushed the benchmark to 8618.90, following a powerful positive lead from U.S. markets that closed the prior trading session with steep gains. All three major Wall Street indices climbed nearly 2.5% or more on the session: the S&P 500 notched a 2.9% increase, the tech-focused Nasdaq Composite surged 3.83%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average, a blue-chip index heavy on industrial stocks, added 2.49%.

    This market upswing comes on the heels of a brutal March for Australian equities. At Tuesday’s close, the ASX 200 had posted a 7.8% monthly drop, its worst monthly performance since June 2022. The decline was driven largely by widespread investor fears that a prolonged military conflict in the Middle East would keep energy prices elevated, with crude prices surging as much as 50% in a short window amid the tension.

    Speaking to reporters in the Oval Office overnight, Trump offered a clear timeline for de-escalation, responding to a question about when U.S. military involvement in the conflict with Iran would conclude by saying he expects American forces to withdraw within “two or three weeks”. “I think two or three weeks. We’ll leave because there’s no reason for us to do this,” Trump stated, adding “We’ll be leaving very soon.”

    Tony Sycamore, a senior market analyst at IG, noted that two key factors combined to drive the overnight market surge: fresh signals of de-escalation in the Iran conflict, and cooler-than-expected U.S. labor data that raised expectations the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates in the near term. “Starting with energy prices and the ongoing situation in the Middle East: West Texas Intermediate crude oil is set to finish the day at $US101.56, reversing from the $US106.86 high it hit earlier in the session,” Sycamore explained. “This sell-off was initially triggered by de-escalation headlines that began breaking during the Asian session yesterday, notably President Trump signalling he is willing to wind down the US military campaign against Iran.”

    The sudden shift in market sentiment underscores how closely global equity and commodity markets are tied to geopolitical risk in the Middle East, with even tentative signs of conflict de-escalation enough to reverse weeks of investor anxiety driven by surging oil prices.

  • ‘Something needs to be done’ – Americans struggle as petrol prices surge

    ‘Something needs to be done’ – Americans struggle as petrol prices surge

    For the first time since 2022, average retail gasoline prices across the United States have climbed above the $4 per gallon threshold, leaving millions of American households grappling with unexpected financial strain and fresh uncertainty. The sudden uptick in fuel costs is directly tied to escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly the ongoing conflict centered on Iran, which has disrupted global energy markets and tightened crude oil supplies. Industry analysts note that the conflict has raised widespread concerns over potential disruptions to key oil shipping lanes and production infrastructure in the region, sending global crude prices sharply higher in recent trading sessions. These cost increases have been passed directly to consumers at the pump, eroding household budgets that are already stretched thin by persistent inflation in other essential goods and services. Across the country, drivers are expressing growing frustration, with many reporting that they are forced to cut back on discretionary spending, carpool to work, or switch to cheaper transportation options to offset the rising fuel bills. “Something has to give,” many consumers say, echoing a growing demand for policy interventions to curb price hikes and bring relief to struggling households. Economists warn that sustained elevated gasoline prices could add further pressure to overall inflation, complicating efforts by the Federal Reserve to stabilize prices and potentially slowing broader economic growth in the coming months.

  • As Iran war continues, US farmers absorb rising costs

    As Iran war continues, US farmers absorb rising costs

    As military tensions and ongoing conflict in Iran continue to roil global markets, American agricultural producers across the country are confronting mounting financial strain that threatens their bottom lines and long-term operational stability. One of the most immediate and visible impacts of the geopolitical unrest has been a sharp upward swing in global energy prices, a development that hits farming operations particularly hard. Fuel for tractors, irrigation equipment and transport trucks, along with petroleum-based inputs like fertilizers and pesticides, have all jumped in cost in lockstep with rising crude oil prices tied to the Middle Eastern instability. \n\nDuring on-the-ground reporting from rural Alabama, BBC correspondent Gary O’Donoghue sat down with one local farmer to discuss how the conflict’s ripple effects are reshaping his day-to-day operations and financial outlook. Despite facing significant growing cost pressures that have eaten into his expected annual profits, the agricultural producer confirmed he remains a staunch supporter of former President Donald Trump’s foreign and domestic policy agenda, aligning himself with the administration’s approach to Middle Eastern relations even as it creates direct financial hardship for his operation. \n\nAgricultural economists note that U.S. farmers are already navigating a host of interconnected challenges, from volatile commodity prices to ongoing trade disputes and extreme weather events linked to climate change. The added cost shock from the continuing Iran conflict has created an extra layer of uncertainty for an industry already operating on thin profit margins, with many small-scale independent producers particularly vulnerable to sudden input price swings. While larger agribusiness operations may have more financial buffer to absorb the short-term costs, small family farms like the one interviewed in Alabama often lack the capital reserves to offset sustained price increases, raising concerns about potential long-term consolidation in the U.S. farming sector if the conflict in Iran drags on.

  • South Africa hit by record diesel price hikes despite fuel levy cut

    South Africa hit by record diesel price hikes despite fuel levy cut

    JOHANNESBURG – Chaos unfolded at fuel stations across South Africa on Tuesday, as tens of thousands of motorists rushed to fill their tanks ahead of midnight, when historic, record-breaking fuel price increases were set to take effect. The skyrocketing prices have been traced directly to ongoing global market volatility sparked by the Iran conflict, which has sent international oil prices swinging sharply upward in recent weeks.

    In a last-minute effort to soften the blow for consumers, South African Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana announced a 3 rand ($0.18) per liter cut to the national fuel levy earlier the same day. Even with this government intervention, the planned price adjustments remain the steepest in the country’s modern history: diesel prices will jump by 7.51 rand ($0.44) per liter, while gasoline prices will rise by 3.06 rand ($0.18) per liter. The unprecedented diesel hike, the largest single increase ever recorded in South Africa, has already sent ripples of anxiety through the southern African economy.

    By Tuesday evening, the panic buying had already drained supplies at multiple outlets. Numerous stations in eastern Johannesburg had already sold out of both diesel and gasoline, turning away waiting motorists. Other locations only had limited gasoline stocks left, forcing drivers searching for diesel to leave empty-handed. Long, visible queues formed at any station that still had fuel available for sale. Some stations across the country have already introduced rationing measures, limiting individual motorists to purchases of between 30 and 50 liters per vehicle to stretch dwindling supplies, while broader distribution network delays and operational bottlenecks have worsened the existing shortage.

    Godongwana acknowledged that the ongoing Middle East conflict has created significant instability in global energy markets, which has directly translated to upward pressure on domestic fuel prices in South Africa. The temporary one-month fuel levy cut, implemented for April, will cost the national government an estimated 6 billion rand (more than $351 million) in lost tax revenue, as the country looks to absorb some of the shock that would otherwise fall fully on consumers.

    Economic analysts warn that even with the government’s intervention, the price hikes will carry severe consequences for households and the broader economy. “Even after the fuel levy reduction, these are the largest increases in recent history, and they would be devastating for consumers,” explained Theuns Du Buisson, an economic researcher at the Solidarity Research Institute. Du Buisson noted that the massive diesel increase in particular will send logistics and transportation costs soaring, which will in turn push overall inflation higher in the coming months.

    Low-income households are expected to bear the brunt of these increases, Du Buisson added, since the vast majority of South Africans rely on public transit – primarily minibus taxis and buses – which will almost certainly raise fares to offset higher fuel costs. The impact was already visible on Tuesday, when the Pretoria city municipality confirmed that local bus service had been disrupted after fuel shortages emptied storage tanks at the city’s bus depots.

    The Iran conflict has already rippled across global energy and financial markets, with multiple other countries facing similar fallout. Haiti has implemented new austerity measures in response to Iran conflict-driven oil price surges and supply chain disruptions, and the European Union has warned that global oil and gas prices are unlikely to return to pre-conflict levels even if hostilities end in the near term.

  • Oil and gas prices won’t immediately return to normal even if the Iran war ends, the EU warns

    Oil and gas prices won’t immediately return to normal even if the Iran war ends, the EU warns

    NICOSIA, Cyprus – The European Union’s top energy official issued a stark warning Tuesday that the crippling surge in European oil and gas prices driven by the ongoing Iran conflict will not return to pre-war levels in the near term, even if a peace agreement is reached immediately.

    Speaking to reporters following a gathering of EU energy ministers, Commissioner Dan Jørgensen clarified that while the 27-nation bloc currently faces no immediate shortfall in crude oil or natural gas supplies, critical bottlenecks have emerged for diesel and jet fuel. Persistent tightening constraints across global natural gas markets are also pushing electricity prices sharply higher across the continent.

    “It is extremely important that I state this as clearly as possible: even if peace is achieved tomorrow, we will not see a return to normal energy prices in the foreseeable future,” Jørgensen emphasized.

    The ongoing war has sent energy costs soaring across Europe, with natural gas prices jumping roughly 70% and crude oil prices rising around 60% since hostilities began. Jørgensen noted that the EU’s total import bill for fossil fuels has ballooned by an extra 14 billion euros since the conflict started.

    To buffer households and businesses from these unprecedented cost spikes, Jørgensen revealed that the European Commission, the EU’s executive branch, is currently finalizing a broad package of targeted support measures. Coordinated action across all member states is critical, he stressed, to avoid fragmented national policies that could send confusing and destabilizing signals to global energy markets.

    The full set of policy tools, which Jørgensen said will be released publicly “quite soon,” includes provisions to make it easier for national governments to decouple retail electricity prices from volatile natural gas market rates. The commission is also actively evaluating a proposal from Commission President Ursula von der Leyen to cut taxes on electricity for consumers.

    While Jørgensen said he does not expect a repeat of the 2022 European natural gas crisis, when energy firms recorded extraordinary windfall profits from skyrocketing prices, he confirmed that a one-time windfall profit tax on energy sector companies remains on the table as a policy option.

    Jørgensen added that the commission is working to expand and simplify existing avenues for member states to provide direct financial support to vulnerable households and energy-intensive industries that are facing extraordinary financial pressure from rising costs.

    In addition to structural support measures, Jørgensen encouraged EU countries to adopt the International Energy Agency’s 10-point energy reduction plan, which includes policy measures like expanded work-from-home arrangements, lowered highway speed limits to cut fuel consumption, expanded subsidies for public transit, and incentives for carpooling.

    Turning to the bloc’s long-term energy transition strategy, Jørgensen reaffirmed the EU’s commitment to its ban on Russian natural gas imports, a policy implemented to cut Moscow’s revenue for its ongoing invasion of Ukraine and reduce European dependence on Russian fossil fuels. He reported that the bloc’s reliance on Russian gas has already fallen sharply from 45% before the Ukraine war to just 10% today, and will drop to zero as import infrastructure for alternative suppliers is scaled up, most notably from the United States. The EU is also pursuing expanded energy imports from Azerbaijan, Algeria, Canada, and smaller producing nations across the globe.

    Jørgensen concluded by stressing that the bloc must not repeat the overreliance on Russian energy that allowed President Vladimir Putin to weaponize energy exports as a political tool against European nations. “It would be totally unacceptable for the EU to continue purchasing energy that indirectly helps finance the terrible war that Putin is conducting in Ukraine,” he said.