The geopolitical landscape has undergone significant shifts in recent years, with the once-anticipated battle for global hegemony between the United States and China now appearing less likely. This change is largely attributed to America’s own strategic missteps, particularly under the Trump administration, which has alienated key allies essential for countering China’s growing influence. Tariffs imposed by the U.S. have further weakened its already struggling manufacturing sector, leaving the nation isolated against a China that is four times its size. Meanwhile, China has continued to assert its dominance in trade negotiations, effectively positioning itself as the world’s preeminent power by default. This has led to speculation that the 21st century may indeed become the ‘Chinese century,’ though it will likely differ from the ‘American century’ in how China wields its power and influence. However, history reminds us that rising powers often squander their potential, as seen with Germany, Japan, and Russia in the 20th century. While China’s demographic challenges and macroeconomic issues pose significant threats, its sheer size and strategic investments in technology and manufacturing suggest that it may still maintain its dominance for decades to come. Internal dissent and potential political instability remain the most plausible threats to China’s rise, but if these are managed effectively, the world may continue to witness the unfolding of the ‘Chinese century.’
