Japan’s core consumer price index (CPI) increased by 2.7% year-on-year in August, according to data released on Friday. This figure, which aligns with market forecasts, represents the slowest pace of growth in nine months, offering a slight reprieve to households grappling with rising living costs. The core CPI excludes volatile fresh food but includes fuel costs. Additionally, an index that strips away both fresh food and fuel costs, closely monitored by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) as a more accurate measure of underlying price trends, rose by 3.3% in August, slightly down from 3.4% in July. These data points will be critical for the BOJ as it concludes its two-day policy meeting on Friday, where it is widely anticipated to maintain interest rates at 0.5%. The BOJ, which ended a decade-long radical stimulus program last year and raised short-term interest rates in January, has been cautious about further rate hikes due to uncertainties surrounding the impact of U.S. tariffs on Japan’s economy. Despite consumer inflation exceeding the BOJ’s 2% target for over three years, Governor Kazuo Ueda has emphasized the need for prudence in monetary policy adjustments. The BOJ’s July forecasts suggest that price pressures from rising rice and import costs will ease, giving way to more sustainable price increases driven by robust consumption and wage growth.
