The U.S. Department of Defense is actively developing comprehensive military contingency plans for a potential decisive strike against Iran, according to an exclusive Axios report. These plans reportedly encompass both ground troop deployments and extensive aerial bombardment campaigns, signaling a significant escalation in preparedness amid ongoing diplomatic friction.
The strategic blueprint outlines four primary military options under consideration. The first involves either a full-scale invasion or naval blockade of Kharg Island, which serves as the export hub for approximately 90% of Iran’s oil production. Alternatively, forces could seize Larak Island, situated adjacent to Iran’s heavily fortified Qeshm Island, which Iran has recently used as a security screening point for vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz.
Additional options include the potential seizure of Abu Musa and two smaller islands (Greater Tunb and Lesser Tunb) in the Persian Gulf—territories historically disputed between Iran and the United Arab Emirates since the Shah’s occupation in 1971. The fourth option contemplates intercepting and seizing Iranian oil tankers navigating through the critical Strait of Hormuz.
This military planning coincides with substantial troop movements to the region. The New York Times reports approximately 5,000 U.S. personnel are deploying to the Gulf, including 3,000 elite paratroopers from the 82nd Airborne Division alongside 2,500 additional soldiers redirected from Asian postings.
While the White House maintains its commitment to diplomatic resolution, officials have issued increasingly stark warnings. Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt declared Wednesday that the U.S. would “unleash hell” on Iran if Tehran refuses to accept Washington’s terms, adding that President Trump would ensure they are “hit harder than they have ever been hit before.” The president himself asserted that Iran is “begging” for a deal while threatening an “onslaught” if negotiations fail.
Iran has firmly rejected the U.S. proposal, which contains 15 specific points for conflict resolution. Instead, Iranian officials presented a five-point counterproposal demanding war reparations, security guarantees for itself and allies, and maintained control over the Strait of Hormuz. Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi explicitly stated that “no negotiations have taken place” and affirmed Iran’s intention to continue its current course.