What we know about leaked US draft plan to end Russia’s Ukraine war

A leaked draft of a US-Russia peace plan has ignited widespread debate as it outlines significant concessions to Moscow, particularly regarding Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity. The proposal suggests transferring control of Ukraine’s industrial eastern Donbas region, still under Ukrainian authority, to de facto Russian control. Additionally, Ukraine would be required to reduce its armed forces to 600,000 personnel, a move that has drawn sharp criticism from Kyiv. The draft, comprising 28 key points, includes provisions for Ukraine’s sovereignty to be “confirmed” and a comprehensive non-aggression agreement between Russia, Ukraine, and Europe. However, the lack of detail on security guarantees and the proposal for snap elections within 100 days have raised concerns. The plan also calls for Ukraine to constitutionally renounce NATO membership, while offering short-term EU market access. Critics argue that the draft heavily favors Russia, particularly with provisions to reintegrate Moscow into the global economy and the G8. The proposal to invest $100 billion of frozen Russian assets in Ukraine’s reconstruction, with half the profits going to the US, has also been met with skepticism. While some points aim to address Russia’s grievances, such as halting NATO expansion and ensuring equal rights for Russian-speaking populations in Ukraine, the overall slant towards Moscow’s narrative has been widely criticized. The plan’s aggressive timeline, with Ukraine reportedly given until Thanksgiving to agree, has further fueled tensions. Both the European Union and Russia have stated they have not officially seen the draft, adding to the uncertainty surrounding its legitimacy and implementation.