The United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL), a critical peacekeeping entity between Israel, Lebanon, and Hezbollah, faces an uncertain future as its mandate renewal deadline of August 31 looms. Israeli pressure, US skepticism over its cost-effectiveness, and Lebanon’s fragile political landscape have raised concerns that the mission could be terminated rather than extended. Such a move would create a perilous security vacuum along the Israeli-Lebanese border, with far-reaching implications for Middle Eastern stability. The US, aiming to reduce its financial commitments to UN peacekeeping, has echoed Israeli claims that UNIFIL has been ineffective in countering Hezbollah’s threats. However, UNIFIL’s mandate has never been to disarm Hezbollah directly; instead, it focuses on supporting the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) to maintain a demilitarized zone in southern Lebanon. Israeli criticism of UNIFIL’s failure to uncover Hezbollah’s tunnel network overlooks the fact that Israeli intelligence also missed these tunnels for over a decade. Meanwhile, Lebanon has taken significant steps to curb Hezbollah’s military dominance, including expanding LAF deployments and consolidating weapons under state control. Yet, these efforts face fierce resistance from Hezbollah, as evidenced by deadly incidents like the August 9 explosion that killed six LAF troops. UNIFIL’s continued presence remains vital as a stabilizing buffer during this precarious process. Despite this, wrangling at the UN Security Council has delayed a vote on the mandate renewal, with the US being the sole holdout. France, as the penholder for the UNIFIL mandate, has proposed various options to appease the US, but divisions in Washington persist. A recent draft resolution suggested a strategic review by March 2026 to assess conditions for UNIFIL’s withdrawal, but the US insists on a firm endpoint. Israel’s strategy of delegitimizing UNIFIL, coupled with its military actions in Lebanon, further complicates the situation. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s conciliatory gestures toward Lebanon’s disarmament efforts risk inflaming political tensions within the country. Amid these maneuvers, UNIFIL’s role as a stabilizing force remains indispensable, and its abrupt withdrawal could escalate tensions, potentially leading to another conflict between Hezbollah and Israel.