The oil-rich Gulf states of Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) have long enjoyed significant advantages, including immense wealth, domestic stability, and growing global influence. In recent months, these nations have moved closer to securing robust and uncritical support from the United States, a development that coincides with the decline of Iranian power in the region. Under President Donald Trump, Gulf monarchs found an ally in Washington who prioritized strategic interests over concerns for democracy and human rights. Trump’s first international trip of his second term to Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE underscored their rising international clout. The overthrow of the Assad government in Syria and Israel’s military actions against Iran and its allies in Lebanon and Yemen have further weakened Tehran’s regional threat. However, Gulf Arab states face a precarious political landscape, as evidenced by Israel’s targeted strike on Hamas leaders in Qatar in September 2025. This incident highlights the unpredictable nature of regional dynamics and the challenges Gulf leaders must navigate. Four key uncertainties will shape their future: managing post-civil war Syria, balancing regional politics, monitoring Iran’s trajectory, and addressing Israel’s military assertiveness. In Syria, Gulf states have shifted from opposing the Assad regime to supporting new President Ahmed al-Sharaa, lobbying the US to lift sanctions and seeking stability to address the refugee crisis. Yet, ongoing Israeli attacks and internal conflicts in Syria underscore the region’s fragility. Regionally, Gulf states face the dilemma of supporting authoritarian governments while avoiding the risks of popular unrest and civil wars, as seen in Yemen and Sudan. Iran remains a central concern, with its diminished power potentially leading to instability or a shift in its political system, both of which could disrupt Gulf interests. Meanwhile, Gulf leaders must balance their strategic alignment with Israel against domestic and regional pressures to support Palestinian rights. The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) remains a critical platform for regional unity, though internal rivalries persist. As Gulf states strive to expand their influence, they remain vulnerable to external events that could derail their plans.