标签： Asia

New York mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani’s statement on October 7, marking the second anniversary of the Hamas-led attack, has ignited a firestorm of reactions across the political spectrum. Mamdani began by mourning the 1,100 Israelis killed and hundreds taken hostage, but swiftly pivoted to condemn Israel’s military response, labeling it a ‘genocidal war’ with a death toll exceeding 67,000. He criticized the U.S. government’s complicity and called for an end to occupation and apartheid. However, his failure to explicitly mention ‘Palestinians’ or ‘Palestine’ drew sharp criticism from pro-Palestine advocates, who accused him of flattening the power imbalance between Israelis and Palestinians. Palestinian activist Nerdeen Kiswani denounced the statement as ‘disgraceful,’ arguing it dehumanized Palestinians by equating Hamas’s actions with Israel’s systemic violence. Journalist Sana Saeed accused Mamdani of ‘genocide apologia’ for framing Palestinian resistance within the same moral register as Israel’s decades-long occupation. Others, including journalist Aaron Mate, criticized factual inaccuracies in Mamdani’s statement, particularly regarding the number of Israeli casualties. Meanwhile, the pro-Israel base, including the Israeli foreign ministry, condemned Mamdani for allegedly advocating for Hamas and spreading propaganda. Despite attempts to strike a measured tone, Mamdani’s statement left him politically isolated, alienating both his progressive base and Israel’s defenders. Critics argue his centrist approach risks losing credibility, while supporters contend he faces the pragmatic realities of electoral politics in a city with a significant Jewish population.

In a significant move underscoring the Biden administration’s stringent stance on national security, the U.S. State Department has terminated a diplomat for engaging in a romantic relationship with a Chinese woman reportedly connected to the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). This marks the first such dismissal since the implementation of a ban on such relationships late last year. The policy, introduced during the final days of President Joe Biden’s tenure, prohibits all U.S. government personnel, their family members, and contractors with security clearances in China from forming romantic or sexual ties with Chinese nationals. Tommy Pigott, a State Department spokesperson, confirmed the dismissal, stating that the diplomat admitted to concealing the relationship, which was deemed a breach of national security protocols. The case was reviewed by former President Donald Trump and Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who supported the decision. The diplomat’s identity remains undisclosed, though the relationship was exposed in a covertly recorded video by conservative activist James O’Keefe. In response, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Guo Jiakun declined to comment, emphasizing China’s opposition to ideological discrimination and unfounded allegations.

The dynamics of US-China relations can be examined through three distinct lenses: short-term, medium-term, and long-term perspectives. In the immediate context, China has secured four significant outcomes: halting rare earth exports to counter US tariffs, leveraging military displays to deter US aggression, weakening India’s alignment with the US, and boosting trade surpluses with third countries despite declining exports to the US. These maneuvers reflect China’s strategic agility in navigating geopolitical tensions. In the medium term, however, China’s alliances with Russia and Iran have proven costly, draining resources and entangling Beijing in conflicts that may not yield favorable outcomes. The long-term outlook remains uncertain, particularly regarding China’s ability to address structural issues such as its massive trade surplus and currency convertibility. Historically, similar challenges contributed to the downfall of the Ming and Qing dynasties. Today, China’s ambition to dominate global trade hinges on adopting free-market principles, which could paradoxically lead to de-industrialization. Meanwhile, the US faces its own set of challenges, including declining alliances and a lack of cohesive long-term strategies. While China appears to have a plan, its domestic economic woes, such as rising debt and a collapsing real estate sector, pose significant risks. Ultimately, the future of US-China relations will depend on how both nations navigate these complex and interconnected challenges.