标签： Asia

According to Washington-based Turkey expert Asli Aydintasbas, the United States government communicated to Turkey through official channels that military operations against Iran would conclude within a mere four-day timeframe. The Brookings Institution fellow revealed these details during a recent interview with Serbestiyet news outlet, characterizing the subsequently prolonged conflict as a form of betrayal toward NATO allies and regional partners.

The disclosure emerges amidst reports of Turkey’s extensive diplomatic efforts to prevent joint Israeli-American strikes against Iran since January. Turkish officials reportedly presented multiple proposals to both Washington and Tehran, including offers to host mediation talks in Istanbul. However, Iranian leadership reportedly declined these overtures, including a proposed trilateral teleconference involving Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian, and US President Donald Trump.

Following several rounds of negotiations in Oman focusing specifically on Iran’s nuclear program, Washington and Israel ultimately launched unprovoked strikes against Iran last month. Aydintasbas highlighted the divergent objectives between the two allies, noting that Israel primarily sought regime change or fragmentation of Iran while the Trump administration pursued a quick victory to leverage nuclear negotiations.

The expert criticized the administration’s approach, noting the conspicuous absence of Iran expertise in planning discussions. Instead, the strategy appeared driven by Israeli encouragement and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s urgings, resulting in what Aydintasbas characterized as a poorly conceived ‘hit-and-run’ operation that has devolved into an open-ended conflict.

Initial White House assumptions suggested that eliminating Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei would precipitate regime collapse. However, the emergence of Mojtaba Khamenei as successor—who lost family members in strikes—created a scenario more reminiscent of North Korea’s leadership than the Venezuela-style cooperation the administration anticipated.

Further complicating matters, reports indicated consideration of employing Iranian and Iraqi Kurdish forces to establish border control—a plan that met with significant backlash from both media outlets and allied nations. Turkey reportedly expressed strong objections through diplomatic channels, joined by concerns from Saudi Arabia regarding the dangers of instigating civil war in Iran.

Despite initial encouragement from President Trump toward Kurdish involvement, the administration subsequently reversed position, with the president publicly stating he did not want Kurdish forces entering Iran amid the already complex conflict.

An independent tribunal co-chaired by former Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn has concluded that Britain served as an active participant in certain Israeli war crimes during the Gaza conflict. The findings, published in a comprehensive report on Monday, emerged from last September’s highly publicized Gaza Tribunal proceedings.

The tribunal was convened following the Labour government’s blockage of Corbyn’s proposed legislation calling for a Chilcot-style public inquiry into UK-Israel military cooperation. The proceedings gathered testimony from a diverse array of sources including eyewitnesses, United Nations rapporteurs, journalists, medical professionals, and academic experts.

The final report presents a damning indictment of British policy, asserting that the nation “failed in its fundamental obligation to prevent genocide, has been complicit in atrocity crimes, and in some instances has even been an active participant in these crimes.” Corbyn characterized the findings as documentation of the government’s “legacy as an active participant in one of the greatest crimes of our time.

Among the specific allegations, the report details that Britain conducted hundreds of surveillance flights over Gaza during the conflict, sharing gathered intelligence with Israeli forces despite government claims that such cooperation was exclusively for “hostage rescue” purposes. The tribunal recommends that the UK immediately provide all collected surveillance footage to both the International Criminal Court (ICC) and International Court of Justice (ICJ).

The document further criticizes the government’s limited arms embargo as insufficient, advocating instead for a comprehensive prohibition on weapons transfers. It references the ICJ’s January 2024 genocide ruling and subsequent advisory opinion declaring Israel’s occupation illegal, arguing these decisions created binding legal obligations for states to prevent genocide and cease trade relations concerning occupied territories.

Notably, the report cites Middle East Eye’s previous reporting that David Cameron, during his tenure as foreign secretary, threatened the ICC’s chief prosecutor with Britain’s withdrawal from the court if it pursued arrest warrants against Israeli officials.

The tribunal’s recommendations include imposing economic sanctions on Israel, terminating all military cooperation, investigating British citizens potentially involved in war crimes, and establishing a full independent public inquiry with powers to question ministers and officials about UK-Israel cooperation since October 2023.

Co-chaired by Dr. Shahd Hammouri, an international law lecturer at the University of Kent, and Professor Neve Gordon, a human rights law expert at Queen Mary University of London, the tribunal featured strong condemnations from both legal scholars. Dr. Hammouri accused top UK officials of “lying, manipulating the law, denying reality, and prosecuting truth-tellers,” while Professor Gordon warned that the government’s complicity “has created a very dangerous precedent.”

In response to the allegations, the Foreign Office noted it has implemented three sets of sanctions addressing settler violence in the West Bank and opposes forced displacement. Middle East Minister Hamish Falconer recently stated there “must be accountability and justice for all crimes committed across Palestinian and Israeli territory.”

Israeli authorities have confirmed the extended closure of Jerusalem’s Al-Aqsa Mosque through the upcoming Eid al-Fitr celebrations and beyond, according to sources familiar with the matter. Middle East Eye has learned that the Islamic Waqf, the Jordanian-appointed body administering the holy site, received official notification of this decision in recent days.

The unprecedented shutdown of one of Islam’s most sacred sites began earlier this month citing security concerns during regional tensions. This marks the first Ramadan since Israel’s 1967 occupation of East Jerusalem that Palestinian worshippers have been completely barred from Friday prayers at the mosque.

The closure has drawn condemnation from eight Muslim-majority nations who declared Israel holds ‘no sovereignty’ over the site and demanded immediate lifting of restrictions. Despite these calls, Israeli forces maintain a heavy presence in the Old City, continuing bans on both Friday and nightly Ramadan prayers while preventing Palestinian access to the compound.

Currently, no more than 25 Waqf staff members are permitted inside the vast complex per shift. Sources reveal Israeli authorities even rejected a request for an additional manuscript department employee, warning that any expansion would trigger permission for Israeli settlers to resume daily incursions.

Waqf officials suspect Israeli forces have installed surveillance cameras inside prayer halls, including within the Dome of the Rock, enabling constant monitoring. The mosque closure coincides with a near-total lockdown of the Old City, where only residents are permitted entry, leaving normally vibrant Palestinian markets deserted.

During Laylat al-Qadr, the holiest night in Islam, hundreds of police blocked access routes, forcing worshippers to pray on streets under threat of violence. Dr. Mustafa Abu Sway of the Islamic Waqf Council noted the stark contrast between the internal lockdown and normal life continuing just meters outside the ancient walls.

International affairs director Aouni Bazbaz expressed concerns that temporary measures could become permanent arrangements, potentially altering decades-long status quo agreements that preserve Al-Aqsa as an exclusively Islamic site under Waqf administration. Palestinians maintain that Israeli occupation has progressively eroded these arrangements while expanding control over the contested territory.

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer announced on Monday that the United Kingdom is formulating a “viable plan” to facilitate the reopening of the strategically critical Strait of Hormuz. This declaration followed a high-stakes discussion with US President Donald Trump, who had previously issued stark warnings about NATO’s future should member states decline to assist American efforts in securing the vital maritime passageway.

The Strait of Hormuz, through which approximately twenty percent of global oil shipments transit, has become the focal point of international tension following Iran’s effective blockade in retaliation against US-Israeli military operations. President Trump’s weekend appeal to multiple nations, including Britain, China, France, Japan, and South Korea, for a collective “team effort” has placed the Starmer administration in a complex diplomatic position.

Despite overwhelming domestic opposition to military engagement, Britain finds itself increasingly entangled in the conflict. The UK government has permitted American forces to utilize British military installations as staging grounds for bomber missions targeting Iranian missile facilities. Energy Secretary Ed Miliband revealed the government’s consideration of deploying minesweeping drones—sophisticated devices that mimic ship patterns to safely detonate underwater mines—rather than warships to the region.

Prime Minister Starmer emphasized the economic imperative of reopening the strait to “ensure stability in the markets,” while acknowledging the considerable challenges involved. He asserted that while US-Israeli operations have “massively weakened” Iran’s military capabilities, any lasting solution would require a “negotiated agreement” to constrain Tehran’s nuclear ambitions and guarantee secure international shipping lanes.

The evolving situation has exposed strains in the transatlantic relationship, particularly regarding Britain’s initial refusal to authorize American strikes from the joint UK-US base on Diego Garcia. Whitehall sources indicate the Starmer government views the US-Israeli offensive as lacking legal justification and contrary to British national interests.

President Trump’s criticism of NATO as a “one-way street” and his remarks about Britain’s delayed naval contribution have been met with measured responses from UK officials. Work and Pensions Secretary Pat McFadden emphasized that Britain maintains no obligation to acquiesce to all American requests, characterizing the relationship as “enduring” beyond current political personalities.

As military activity intensifies—with US bombers operating from British soil and Iranian drones attacking bases housing British personnel—the Starmer government faces mounting pressure to balance alliance commitments with domestic political realities while pursuing de-escalation in an increasingly volatile regional conflict.

The International Criminal Court (ICC) faces a profound institutional crisis as its governing body convenes to determine the professional future of Chief Prosecutor Karim Khan. The Assembly of States Parties (ASP) Bureau, comprising 21 member representatives, is reviewing a confidential judicial report investigating serious sexual misconduct allegations against Khan.

This pivotal document, compiled by an independent tribunal of three judges applying the criminal law standard of ‘beyond reasonable doubt,’ outlines potential findings ranging from serious misconduct to complete exoneration. The report remains strictly confidential, accessible only to bureau members, with neither Khan nor the majority of the court’s 125 member states permitted to review its contents.

The judicial examination originated from a United Nations Office of Internal Oversight Services (OIOS) investigation commissioned in November 2024 following media reports that a staff member had accused Khan of sexual assault. The case escalated when the complainant declined to cooperate with the ICC’s internal investigative mechanisms.

According to internal ASP documents, the bureau possesses authority to suspend Khan pending case resolution if misconduct is established. The prosecutor would subsequently receive 30 days to formally respond and present his defense during a hearing. Should the bureau confirm serious misconduct, Khan’s removal would require an absolute majority vote (63 states) among ICC member nations.

Diplomatic sources indicate Monday’s meeting may yield either immediate decisions or establish an adjudicative process, with delegates consulting their respective governments on this complex matter. The proceedings occur against the backdrop of Khan’s voluntary leave of absence since May 2024, during which deputy prosecutors have managed office operations.

This leadership crisis emerges during particularly consequential investigations into atrocity crimes across multiple regions, including Palestine, Ukraine, Sudan, and Afghanistan. The timing proves especially sensitive given Khan’s recent application for arrest warrants against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Yoav Gallant in May 2024—a move that triggered aggressive diplomatic and economic retaliation from Israel and allied nations.

The United States under President Donald Trump has imposed financial sanctions and visa restrictions against Khan, his deputies, several ICC judges, and Palestinian entities since February 2025. Previous reporting revealed that British officials, including then-Foreign Secretary David Cameron, threatened defunding and withdrawal from the ICC during tense pre-warrant negotiations.

Khan has vehemently denied all allegations, characterizing Israel’s parallel attempt to disqualify him from the Palestine investigation as based on ‘a haze of ends-oriented conjecture and misleading or false assertions.’ The convergence of misconduct allegations with high-stakes international investigations has created unprecedented challenges for the court’s institutional integrity and operational capacity.