博客

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has escalated military operations in Gaza City, despite mounting domestic and international criticism. This decision comes as the International Association of Genocide Scholars accuses Israel of committing genocide, further fueling global condemnation. On August 2, approximately 40,000 reservists were summoned, with an additional 90,000 expected to be mobilized by early 2026. However, reports indicate a significant decline in the number of reservists willing to serve, with some estimates suggesting a 30% to 50% drop in participation. Israel’s mandatory conscription policy requires high school graduates to serve 18 to 36 months, followed by reserve duty until age 40. Following the October 7, 2023, Hamas attacks, Israel mobilized 360,000 reservists alongside 100,000 active-duty soldiers, marking one of the largest call-ups in the nation’s history. Initially, the response rate exceeded 100%, but after nearly two years of conflict, fatigue and disillusionment have set in. Many reservists cite exhaustion and the failure to achieve key objectives, such as securing the release of Israeli hostages, as reasons for refusing to serve. This growing reluctance poses a strategic challenge for Netanyahu, as the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) rely heavily on reservists for sustained operations. Historically, refusal to serve has been a form of political protest in Israel, with movements like Yesh Gvul emerging during the Lebanon War in 1982 and gaining traction during the Palestinian uprisings. Recent protests against judicial reforms in 2023 also saw elite combat pilots refusing to serve, highlighting the intersection of military service and political dissent. Despite these challenges, Netanyahu shows no signs of altering his course, even as domestic and international pressure mounts.

The latest National Defense Strategy, delivered to Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, marks a significant shift in U.S. military priorities. The document, reportedly crafted by Under Secretary of War for Policy Elbridge Colby, advocates for a refocus on domestic and regional missions, moving away from global adversaries like China and Russia. This pivot overturns decades of interventionist policies and signals a more restrained approach to international engagements.

Colby, previously known for his advocacy of a robust ‘Strategy of Denial’ to counter China, has surprised many with this pragmatic stance. During his confirmation hearings, he emphasized that Taiwan, while important, is not an existential interest for the U.S. This shift raises questions about whether it stems from a realistic assessment of U.S. military capabilities or the influence of a mercurial administration.

Meanwhile, China continues to demonstrate its military prowess, showcasing advanced weaponry in a recent parade. The rapid development of China’s defense industry, paralleling its dominance in the electric vehicle sector, underscores its technological and industrial might. With Chinese universities producing 6.7 times more engineers than their U.S. counterparts annually, the pace of innovation in China’s military sector appears unstoppable.

In parallel, the Trump administration has extended tariff negotiations with China for another 90 days, following previous concessions in trade disputes. This ongoing economic tug-of-war highlights the complexities of U.S.-China relations and the challenges of addressing China’s growing economic and military influence.

The new National Defense Strategy reflects a broader reckoning with the limits of U.S. power. As America grapples with domestic issues and overstretched military commitments, the strategy suggests a need to prioritize internal stability over global dominance. This shift, while controversial, may be a necessary step in adapting to a rapidly changing geopolitical landscape.

The Reform Party’s annual conference at the National Exhibition Centre in Birmingham showcased a vibrant and diverse crowd, challenging the stereotype that Nigel Farage’s supporters are predominantly older men. Attendees included young men in flamboyant suits, women in light blue dresses, and even a few ethnic minorities, though the majority were white. The atmosphere was electric, resembling a festival with attendees enjoying beer, hot dogs, and burgers, though vegetarian options were scarce. The party’s light blue color was prominently displayed in attire and decorations, with Union Jack and St George’s flags adding to the patriotic fervor. Reform, a right-wing anti-immigrant party, has been leading opinion polls and is a strong contender for the next general election. Nigel Farage, the party leader, received a hero’s welcome, with his speech outlining controversial policies such as deporting 600,000 illegal immigrants within five years and banning the Muslim Brotherhood. The event also featured Zia Yusuf, the new head of policy, who addressed the party’s stance on Israel and Gaza, avoiding direct condemnation of Israel’s actions. The conference highlighted the party’s broad appeal, with members ranging from veterans to young activists, all united by concerns over immigration and national identity. Despite the festive atmosphere, underlying tensions and controversial views on race and religion were evident, reflecting the party’s polarizing nature.

On September 3, Beijing witnessed a historic military parade where Chinese President Xi Jinping unveiled a defense system capable of countering the United States. This display marked a significant shift in global power dynamics, signaling that China is no longer a junior partner to the U.S. but a formidable global power ready to defend and expand its interests. This event, coupled with China’s growing alliances and its philosophy of non-interference in international politics, underscores its strategic rise on the world stage. The recent Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) summit in Tianjin further highlighted China’s expanding influence, with India’s presence confirming Beijing’s ability to attract new allies while the U.S. struggles to maintain its traditional partnerships. China’s re-examination of history, particularly its role in World War II, and its emphasis on regional growth through initiatives like the $1.3 billion SCO development bank, further illustrate its comprehensive strategy to reshape global narratives and economic frameworks. Meanwhile, the U.S. faces challenges in maintaining its influence in Asia, with countries like Japan and Australia potentially hedging their security strategies and relying less on American support. This evolving landscape suggests a psychological and strategic decoupling between the U.S. and China, leading to a more tense bilateral atmosphere reminiscent of Cold War II. As China continues to capitalize on American missteps, it is crafting a new world order with its own rules, independent of Western standards. This shift has profound implications for global security, trade, and diplomacy, as nations reassess their alliances and strategies in response to China’s growing assertiveness.