China has recorded its lowest number of first marriages in a decade, with only 9.1723 million couples tying the knot in 2024, according to the latest data from the National Statistics Bureau. This marks the first time the figure has fallen below 10 million in the past ten years. The decline is part of a broader trend, with the number of first marriages decreasing annually from 2014 to 2024, except for a slight uptick in 2023. In 2024 alone, the number dropped by 2.77 million, or 23.18 percent, compared to the previous year, representing the steepest decline in a decade. Compared to 2013, the number of first marriages in 2024 plummeted by 14.69 million, a staggering 61.57 percent reduction. Marriage registrations also saw a significant drop, falling from 13.469 million in 2013 to 6.106 million in 2024, a decline of 54.7 percent. Demographics scholar He Yafu attributes this trend to two primary factors: a shrinking young population and a rising unmarried rate. Data from the Ministry of Civil Affairs reveals that the 25-34 age group, which accounts for the majority of marriages, has seen a decline in population. The seventh national population census in 2020 showed that the population aged 21-30 (born between 1990 and 1999) was only 178 million, compared to 215 million in the 31-40 age group (born between 1980 and 1989). Additionally, the unmarried rate among 30-year-olds has surged from 14.56 percent in 2013 to 29.97 percent in 2023, reflecting a significant societal shift. This trend underscores the challenges China faces in addressing demographic changes and their implications for social and economic stability.
